The state of the nursery industry

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lucky1
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The state of the nursery industry

Post by lucky1 »

Tony Avent of Plant Delights Nursery in the Carolinas ALWAYS has a newsy and interesting newsletter.

Here's an excerpt (leaving out some plant links) from Dec. newsletter:
Seasons Greetings and Happy New Year from all of us at Plant Delights Nursery! We’ve made it to the end of another year and we are already looking forward to a fabulous 2011. On that note, the 2011 Plant Delights catalogs just have been mailed, so watch your mailbox for your copy which should be arriving soon. If you want to get a head start, our website has been updated at http://www.plantdelights.com, where you will find nearly 1000 additional plants that we just couldn’t fit in the printed catalog including many plants in limited quantities. As always, the new catalog is crammed full of goodies with over 100 new offerings for 2011. We also hope you enjoy the new website, as our staff has spent a phenomenal amount of time adding new features, improving the speed, and making the site more user-friendly.

I’m always amazed how many folks think we live in the tropics in NC, but we’re just digging out from a 9.75" snowfall...the 6th deepest since records have been kept in our region. Despite the early cold this fall (2 nights at 17 degrees F and one at 14.9 degrees F), we are welcoming a nice break from the cold as well as the exorbitant greenhouse heating bills.

Thanks to the early cold, many plants which often try to poke their heads above ground too early are still tucked away in bed like young children on Christmas Eve. Some years, we’ll often have Trillium underwoodii emerge in early December, but fortunately, so far there are no signs of foliage. Despite the low temperatures, we are already enjoying the flowers on Helleborus niger...especially the very early flowering forms from the Heuger breeding program. Also, the wonderfully fragrant winter-flowering Iris unguicularis are even showing a few flowers between snowstorms.

Earlier this year, we highlighted the financial troubles of South Carolina’s 686 acre Carolina Nurseries. In early December they finally closed up shop when the landowner repossessed the nursery property. This is yet another sad loss of one of the real innovative nurseries of our industry. We sincerely wish their 350 person staff luck at finding new positions within the industry.

If that wasn’t enough, on December 17, a bankruptcy judge signed the order to sell off the assets of Hines Nurseries. As I mentioned last month, Hines was formerly the largest nursery in the country prior to its previous bankruptcy in 2008. Hines is currently owned by a private equity firm, Black Diamond Capital Management. As I’ve mentioned many times, a financial strategy involving a nursery and a venture capital/private equity firm is like a deadly drug combination...it may make you feel really euphoric for a while, but it ultimately results in a painful death. So, if you’ve been sitting on a ton of cash and looking to lose much of it by getting into the nursery business, bids for Hines will be accepted until February 25, 2011 at the offices of Pachulski Stang Ziehl, & Jones LLP of Wilmington DE. If there is more than one bid for the assets, bidders will be checked into a nearby mental health facility while an auction determines the loser...I mean the new owner.

One of the larger nurseries in the country that hasn’t filed for bankruptcy is the Berry Family Nurseries (BFN). Started in 1993, BFN now has over 8,000 acres in production. Over the last few years they have actually acquired several other financially distressed nurseries. Their empire, headquartered in Oklahoma now includes Zelenka Nursery, Zelenka West Nurseries and Tri-B Nursery, with operations in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Oregon. All seemed well until December when they sold substantially all of their operating assets to...you guessed it...a private equity firm, Insight Equity II LP of Dallas. Trade magazines are already spinning this as a great business move, but I actually got a bigger laugh when I read the comments from the involved parties below who have obviously consumed too much nursery kool-aid.

Chris Zugaro, a Vice President at Insight Equity, said, “Insight Equity and BFN are committed to the nursery business and look forward to considering further investments in the space in the future.”

Conner Searcy, a Partner at Insight Equity, said, “BFN is now the market leader in the wholesale nursery perennials and woody ornamentals industry and this transaction solidifies the company’s business and positions it for growth.”

Bob Berry, CEO of BFN said, “We believe this transaction positions BFN to succeed and grow while maintaining a commitment to delivering excellent customer service and superior quality.”

Reading this, I’m reminded of the favorite George Santayana quote, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

If you wonder what most of the recently defunct nurseries had in common, you don’t have to look far. They all relied on someone else’s money to operate. This practice comes from a desire to grow more rapidly than they could from their own cash flow, combined with a dependence on tax CPA’s for business advice...a difficult lesson we learned the hard way a decade earlier.

There are very few nurseries without an operating line of credit, since nurseries are a very seasonal business...making money for six months (or less) and losing money for six months (or more). It’s much simpler to have a line of credit from a financial institution than to put away money for these “rainy” months...or in the current case, years. Up until the last few years, agricultural-based banks were great to work with, because they typically have realistic financial return expectations. For higher volume loans, venture capital or equity firms usually get the call. I have yet to hear of one of these that had long-term realistic financial return expectations from a nursery business.

Operating with your own funds isn’t as easy as it sounds, because after a good year, a large wholesale nursery can make a nice profit, resulting in a huge tax bill. It is a tax cpa’s job to keep tax bills to a minimum...made more important by the Federal government’s desire to tax high earners (aka profitable businesses) at a much higher rate. To lower a nursery’s tax burden, businesses are advised to purchase extra equipment before year’s end and subsequently use someone else’s money to operate until the sales season kicks in.

Don’t get the idea that I never advocate using a line of credit, but it’s all about maintaining a reasonable debt ratio...the amount of money you owe (liabilities) divided by the value of your business (assets). If a business keeps their dept ratio low, they can pay off or at least continue to service their debts during a time of economic uncertainty. If, however, their debt ratio is too high when the economy goes south, guess what...you’re outta’ here.

Even business owners who aren’t gamblers by nature get sucked into a black hole of debt by following tax cpa’s advice to reduce tax burdens through end-of-year spending. The choice sounds simple...either pay a huge chunk of money to the government or buy that new tractor and potting machine that you’ve been eyeing. It’s amazingly easy not to notice how deep the debt hole has become and dismiss financial warning signs...as long as sales growth remains on a steady increase.

In our August 2009 newsletter, I mused about Monrovia Nursery’s announcement in trade publications that they had boasted about securing $100 million dollars in working capital (line of credit). My concern was exactly as I have outlined above...if you need $100 million in working capital, then something is very wrong. See if this quote below doesn’t sound out of the same box as the BFN quotes above. "GE Capital continues to provide us with the liquidity we need to meet our business objectives," said Tyler Page, CFO of Monrovia Nursery. "Especially in this environment, having a lender who truly understands our business and delivers on what they promise is extremely valuable." (June 29, 2009)

Well, here we are just over a year later and guess what? Monrovia’s financier, GE Capital Markets is putting the squeeze on Monrovia to dramatically boost sales immediately...or else. Up until now, Monrovia has only dabbled in the low-end box store market in favor of independent garden centers, since the former has killed off more large wholesale nurseries than Irwin Allen did movie extras. GE Capital is insistent that if Monrovia doesn’t dramatically increase sales immediately, they will require them to dump lower-priced plants into the box stores, which they obviously don’t realize would be deadly. Case in point...Hines Nursery, a formerly hugely profitable nursery until they started selling to the box stores...now nearly defunct. Oh well, I guess some people will never learn.

Thanks for taking time to read our newsletter and we hope you will enjoy the new catalog and website.
-tony
I'm sure we all wish Tony a successful 2011. :king:
Barb


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Tony O
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Post by Tony O »

Very interesting read. Thanks for posting it.
If palms won't grow there,
and you don't try,
They won't grow there.
BUT THEY GROW FOR ME :)
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

As with Tony up in Jay, very interesting.
This post concerns a huge employer (Tri B) in our area. :shock:
--Erik
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Paul Ont
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Post by Paul Ont »

An interesting read... I'm of 2 minds about Tony A. and his nursery notes... Nothing on that now.

Back on topic, I wonder how many of the small nurseries are going to remain financially solvent and for how long. Are the small-time specialists also suffering?
lucky1
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Post by lucky1 »

Small and big nurseries' struggles during 2010 are nothing compared to this threat in Laguna Beach, CA, now also in Tijuana Mexico:

http://www.physorg.com/news/2010-10-dis ... ornia.html

We cold zoners will one day look back and be grateful we live where we do.
Maybe not if the buggers show up for one summer.

Scary stuff. :banghead:
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

I'm sure those won't survive our winters, but any of us could buy a palm in May with these buggers and fight them until the first frost. I know my palms get trucked up from Florida or Texas. I'll be on the look-out in Spring.
Now, if only we could get Tri B nursery (here in Oklahoma) to grow/market Sabal minor....
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Post by lucky1 »

Sabal minor?

They have their own palm weevil enemy, while generally not as destructive:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhynchophorus_cruentatus

Seventeen palm species (to date) are at risk, but it kills me to see Phoenix preferred by the pest.
In particular my fav palm, CIDP.

This pic is from hard-hit Algarve area of Portugal. France and Italy and Greece have decimated populations of Phoenix sp.
http://www.algarveresident.com/story.asp?ID=28841

Just think what a drive along California's Pacific Coast Highway might look like in a few years.
Or the "skydusters" in California's backdrop.

Oh...and an alternate host is the widely-planted (into Arizona!) Agave americana :cry:
Good pics on this Hawaiian site (stating they're not affected)
http://hawaii.gov/hdoa/pi/ppc/Red%20pal ... MASTER.pdf

Barb
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

So much to learn!
Now I am wondering if that might explain the mystery of my Sabal palmetto. No idea, but something for me to research. (Unless you want to help!)
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Post by lucky1 »

wondering if that might explain the mystery of my Sabal palmetto
That was the first thing I thought of, Erik, when I read about it yesterday.
Did you ever SEE any crawly/flying beetles?
Likely not with your chickens doing such a good job...but once they bore inside a frond base, nothin' can get at them.

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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

Plausible, given the source.
The old guy goes to Homestead Florida and buys cheap palms to truck up here each March. I could easily see a palm vendor unloading diseased palms with no guilty feelings, figuring they are annuals anyways up here.
The photos I have seen all show fronds collapsing. My Sabal leaves are still, even now, perfectly upright. They are just a ghostly white. Weird.
There is some green at petiole bases, so I am protecting the base in hopes of a 5% chance it will re-grow from the bases in 2011.
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Post by lucky1 »

While at risk because of palm transport, Florida doesn't have the weevil apparently (yet).
Found in S.California, and also Tijuana.

Sounds like that's not it with yours.
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

Phew!
Also, the Bismarckia came from the same source and it is doing great.
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Post by hardyjim »

Thanks for posting that Barb.

I like their outlook on things/business,etc.

Cyclical...

One of the businesses asked to raise profits sells a lot of "cold hardy"palms
to the "box stores".....palms that they rush to market by forcing fast growth........
doesn't work and at best palms die-back in the first winter if your" lucky"if your
not they just die.

This leaves room for people who know what they are doing to come back in
after all these companies try and fail!
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Nurseries here in Wichita,Ks

Post by tropicman »

Quite a few of the Ma&Pa nurseries that have been in town for many years have already gone under in the last couple of years,cannot compete with big box stores.
There is about 5 left,that are doing good,but they do quite a business with local businesses as well,where the box store are mainly for the public here.
Getting tropical or hardy palms here are few in between,so I decided to start many different kinds from seed,and in a year when I retire hope to have enough here for the locals if they would like to try there hand at growing some.
I don't have the room to go into business here say,but supply a few people here and around the state that know me and are growing tropical plants all ready,and want to get into cold tropical looking plants.
Heres a look right out side my door,from where I'm sitting at my computer

Image
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm »

Don,
I might be a customer! You are not that far away....
--Erik
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Your more than welcome

Post by tropicman »

As anybody else in the surrounding area.
I have Mexican And Texas Sabal Palmettos,Trachycarpus Fort, Sabal Minors,Sabal Louisianans,Pindos Capitata,and Brahea Armatas,Also Washy Robustas and Filiferas,for cold hardy palms.
And on the tropical side,I have Kings,Queens,Chameadoreas,Fox Tails,Fiji's,Assai Euterpe Edulis, Phoenix Roeblenii,
and Florida Royal palms,these are the ones I can think of,off the top of my head,I'm sure I have many more of both.
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Post by lucky1 »

Ma&Pa nurseries that have been in town for many years have already gone under in the last couple of years,cannot compete with big box stores
Big box is winning here too.
But their penchant for "huge volume In/huge volume Out" makes me think their supply and price demands can push suppliers to the brink, as Tony implied in his newsletter.
Yet Cdn box stores still don't have the selection many Canadians want.
Mostly huge nurseries are represented (Monrovia? Costa Farms).

There are excellent nurseries all around Vancouver on the Coast.
But I've noticed that most no longer start their own annuals, likely a result of the price of natural gas for GH heating jumping dramatically a few years ago.
Plus labour costs.
Smaller margin when they bring in annuals from the big guys...then the box stores drop prices by 70% just to get rid of them.

If a Ma&Pa nursery had the tropicals I want, I'd shop there for sure.

If you were set up in Canada, Don, your GHs would empty as fast as you could fill 'em.
Hell, I'd camp in your driveway!

Erik...when you head to Don's, take a truck... :love10:

Barb
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Post by TerdalFarm »

Barb,
Truck--and the horse trailer sized for draft horses!
Don,
PM me if you want my email and telephone number.
--Erik
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Post by tropicman »

Barb,
Its the same here,nurseries truck in there annuals,and with perrinals,I notice there taking cuttings and growing them on and not as ordering them as much as they use to,so you tend to get smaller one gallon plants now,than you use to get,which in turn might make them more hardier anyway than before,and there not carrying the selection of plants or the quantity they use to have on hand.
Same here box stores carry the same old same old,and don't bring in the more exotic plants that people want,I think that is why I seem to get more people knowing about me,I have sold and given a lot more plants away than I use to a few years back,word of mouth has really getting me and about with plant growers here.
Erik you really need to make a trip up,if I remember it took me about 3 hours to Tulsa,when I was living in Owasso!
lucky1
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Post by lucky1 »

re "not carrying the selection of plants", I think that has to do with the experience (or lack of it) of the people that do their ordering.
Or maybe they've been burned in the past with people bringing back stuff, demanding refunds, on varieties that were more difficult to grow.

I posted this pic of big box RONA some time ago during a trip south to Kelowna, congratulating them on THEIR selection.
<img src="http://farm6.static.flickr.com/5283/524 ... bfb9d0.jpg" width="375" height="500" alt="DSC04191" />
It was rare to see so many species in that store; their sister store in my town uses their same-size greenhouse for...of all things....off-seasonal storage :x
The only reason I didn't buy anything that day is...as the years have gone by...I've got one of most of what they're offering.
more exotic plants that people want
Exactly, Don.
Plus you didn't set out to make it a business, it just grew out of your love of tropicals.
I find when the almighty dollar isn't the FIRST goal, you find a market niche and success almost as an afterthought.
Between you and Steve (KNNN), you could supply all tropical plant hobbyists with the species they seek.

Too bad there's a border between us--and the resulting phytosanitary "plant passports"--horrendous costs and delays associated with that.
I'd be your (and Steve's) best customer. :toothy7:

Have you considered approaching your city's Chamber of Commerce re adding a link to your palm sales page.
I have sold and given a lot more plants away than I use to a few years back
You're just making room in your GH so you can start more... :lol: :lol:

By the way, did you get any of those black plant containers you were looking for?

Barb
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tropicman
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Post by tropicman »

Funny how things work out,no I didn't want or need to start a business,but you plant 100 seeds thinking you might get 10 to pop and you get 90 to germinate,and after several different varieties you got so many plants you don't know what to do with them all.
No I haven't even thought about getting in touch with Chamber Of Commerce. something to ponder about!
No I haven't ordered any more plastic black nursery pots,I think I pay about 36 cents a piece,including the shipping cost.
I was looking to see if I could find them a lot cheaper some where.
I normally buy 200 at a time.
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Post by lucky1 »

you plant 100 seeds thinking you might get 10 to pop and you get 90 to germinate,and after several different varieties you got so many plants you don't know what to do with them all.
Sounds familiar... :?

Some stores give away those black plastic pots from their floral department's fresh flower section.
Too bad not your store.

36 cents...wow that's like back in the 70's!

Barb
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