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TerdalFarm
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Scared

Post by TerdalFarm » Tue May 24, 2011 2:40 pm

We're all pretty freaked out by what happened just up the road in Joplin Sunday.
Hence, we're paying real close attnetion to the weather.
Here is what the state of Oklahoma's climatologist is saying right now, about today:

May 3, 1999?

[Note for my PN friends: May 3, 1999, is when a tornado as strong as the one that hit Joplin hit the suburbs of Oklahoma City.]

This is very Weather-ish, but at least on the surface, today's setup for the
possible tornado outbreak looks different than what was occurring at 1:30 pm
on May 3, 1999. Today looks more juicy thus far! Of course, conditions
vertically also matter, but let's take a look at what's going on close to the
ground.

This Mesonet map is from May 3, 1999, at 1:30 pm.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20110 ... 3-1999.png

Here's a similar map for 1:30 pm today.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20110 ... 4-2011.gif

May 3: Temperatures in the 70s, strong southerly winds gusting to 25-30 mph,
dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s.

Today: Temperatures in the 80s and 90s, strong southerly winds gusting to 25-35
mph, dewpoints in the lower 70s.

So surface wise, if you're looking at the ingredients to these nasty cake, we're
more well-stocked today.

YIKES!

Stay weather aware, and safe!

Gary McManus
Associate State Climatologist
Oklahoma Climatological Survey



And here is the word from the NWS:

.. Long track violent tornadoes possible later today...

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas later today. The potential
for high impact severe weather... including violent long-track
tornadoes... is high.

I lost power for a while last night from the wind, and expect the same this evening; I'll unplug the modem and computer before the storm hits, so don't worry if you don't hear from me. --Erik



lucky1
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Post by lucky1 » Tue May 24, 2011 2:45 pm

Sheesh, Erik, that's awful.
Stay safe.
Hitting Kansas too, I believe, where Steve lives.

The poor folks in Joplin...

Barb
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Post by DesertZone » Tue May 24, 2011 4:30 pm

I so hope everyone will be ok this season. :(
Shoshone Idaho weather
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Here's to all the global warming pushers, may your winters be -30 below and four feet of snow in your driveway. Because I want you happy.
-Aaron-

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Post by Cameron_z6a_N.S. » Tue May 24, 2011 5:33 pm

Stay safe!
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TerdalFarm
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update

Post by TerdalFarm » Wed May 25, 2011 11:01 am

Lots of tornadoes and deaths in OK last night, but fine here on the farm--just lots of lightning, rain and strong wind; the nearest tornado was a few miles away. A triangle palm was pulled out of its patio pot but that was the worst here.

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Post by lucky1 » Wed May 25, 2011 11:48 am

Lots of tornadoes and deaths in OK last night
How awful, Erik.

Hope Steve's OK in Kansas, too.

Barb
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Post by hardyjim » Wed May 25, 2011 11:51 am

I was looking out for you last night Eric,glad you guys stayed out of harms way...........

Did you guys see this post???



http://members3.boardhost.com/HardyPalm ... 93609.html
<img src="http://weathersticker.wunderground.com/ ... rfield.gif" alt="Click for Fairfield, Iowa Forecast" border="0" height="60" width="468" />

lucky1
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Post by lucky1 » Wed May 25, 2011 2:20 pm

Glad Erik's OK, hope Steve's fine in Kansas.

Unbelievable carnage in that link, Jim.

My heart goes out to those people who are suffering so much.

Barb
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hardyjim
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Post by hardyjim » Thu May 26, 2011 8:01 am

If you check out the first and second links to the videos...you see-

First they are in the Gas station and the tornado hits-

and in the second video he goes back the next day and
shows you where they were when he takes the video.

It is absolutely unbelievable to me how calm they remained!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Last edited by hardyjim on Thu May 26, 2011 2:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Knnn
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Post by Knnn » Thu May 26, 2011 12:23 pm

Erik, Glad you missed the worst of it!

Barb, Still here :D Waiting to see if we get flooded out or not, recorded around 7.5" of rain in the last week upstream of me. Had about 3" here.

http://waterdata.usgs.gov/ks/nwis/uv?site_no=06869500


Here's the view from my backyard on the 24th

Image


Steve
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm » Thu May 26, 2011 3:11 pm

Steve,
hang on tight when the water comes downstream. Life jackets in the safe room, maybe?

That photo is great. W and I enjoy sitting outside on the "beach" and watching the clouds -- very dramatic lately.
--Erik

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Post by lucky1 » Thu May 26, 2011 3:54 pm

Keeping fingers crossed that you won't get flooded.
That's a whack o' rain.
And here I am complaining about our 1 inch of rain today :?

That photo is almost surreal, looks pretty dangerous!

Erik so much damage in OK too, glad both you and Steve are safe.

Barb
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Okanagan desert-palms
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Post by Okanagan desert-palms » Thu May 26, 2011 5:16 pm

I hope you are all well through this record tornado season. Stay safe! Prayers out to all who have been affected.

John
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm » Thu May 26, 2011 8:35 pm

John,
the prayers are appreciated. The final death was tabulated today. Too sad to write about here. Easy to find with google news if you want a name to pray over.

The nearest tornado to us was upgraded to EF-2 after the NWS examined the damage, but no deaths--just wrecked homes.

The forecast here is for Summer: hot and humid. Tornadoes are spring weather. We seem to be moving into a classic summer pattern, which the palms should love. --Erik

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TerdalFarm
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pics

Post by TerdalFarm » Fri May 27, 2011 10:09 am

Windy and mild here today. Potted palms are being blown over, but can't complain. I'll pot-plant them soon so that stops happening.

Here are some pics from the recent event, all from the OK mesonet (mesonet.org, the state wx for farmers):

Photo 1 shows what the tornado (now classified as EF-2) did to a mobile home nearby us. We live in a double wide so the same would have happened to us. Fortunately these folks had a storm shelter (circled in yellow) and so are alright.

Photo 2 shows the data from the mesonet weather station in El Reno, an OKC suburb, as broadcast on local TV in OKC. Notice that spike in wind speeds to 151 mph (240 kmh) as the tornado passed over.

Photo 3 shows that same weather station afterwards. They sure make those things sturdy now, don't they?

<table style="width:auto;"><tr><td><a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/d ... site"><img src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-LWEn ... y_2011.jpg" height="600" width="800" /></a></td></tr><tr><td style="font-family:arial,sans-serif; font-size:11px; text-align:right">From <a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/terdalfarm ... bsite">May 2011</a></td></tr></table>

<table style="width:auto;"><tr><td><a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/i ... site"><img src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-oByQ ... 4939_o.jpg" height="373" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td style="font-family:arial,sans-serif; font-size:11px; text-align:right">From <a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/terdalfarm ... bsite">May 2011</a></td></tr></table>

<table style="width:auto;"><tr><td><a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/K ... site"><img src="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-C6kZ ... 202011.jpg" height="600" width="800" /></a></td></tr><tr><td style="font-family:arial,sans-serif; font-size:11px; text-align:right">From <a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/terdalfarm ... bsite">May 2011</a></td></tr></table>

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Okanagan desert-palms
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Post by Okanagan desert-palms » Fri May 27, 2011 1:25 pm

Erik the storm shelter business will be taking off after this season is done.

John
Okanagan Palms and Tropicals
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Knnn
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Post by Knnn » Fri Jun 03, 2011 7:59 am

Erik, Thanks for the photos!

Crazy weather this year, the sirens here are sounding now for imminent flooding. Had another 5" of rain and baseball sized hail 2 nights ago.
(some photos here) http://www.ksallink.com/?cmd=displaysto ... ormat=html

And a couple more photos :-)

Image

Image



Steve
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Post by lucky1 » Fri Jun 03, 2011 8:51 am

Too bad that fabulous photos have to come from catastrophes :cry:
Scary pics...

I hope the flooding misses you Steve.
Barb
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Knnn
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Post by Knnn » Fri Jun 03, 2011 9:56 am

I do too, but I don't think that's going to happen :(
Just now a question of how deep in the house it gets.

Here's our river gauge,

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrogra ... ,1,1,1,1,1


Steve
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lucky1
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Post by lucky1 » Fri Jun 03, 2011 10:15 am

Oh man!
Flood stage 25 feet and you're already at 29.5 feet :shock:

Take care Steve.
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DesertZone
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Post by DesertZone » Fri Jun 03, 2011 10:40 am

lucky1 wrote:Too bad that fabulous photos have to come from catastrophes :cry:
Scary pics...

I hope the flooding misses you Steve.
Barb
I agree. Very nice pics, but I pray the best for everyone. :shaking:
Shoshone Idaho weather
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Here's to all the global warming pushers, may your winters be -30 below and four feet of snow in your driveway. Because I want you happy.
-Aaron-

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Knnn
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Post by Knnn » Tue Jun 07, 2011 8:00 am

Just a follow up...
Mandatory evacuations went into effect at 9pm Friday night, the river rose to just over 30'
Was able to make it back into town Sunday evening, All the Cycads and Palms in the GH spent a few days under water.
Not so bad though, at least we still have a house!

A couple photos from the neighborhood, this is after the water level had dropped.

Image

Image

Image


My truck :D

Image





Steve
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lucky1
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Post by lucky1 » Tue Jun 07, 2011 10:34 am

Thank God you and yours are OK, Steve.

30 feet river rise :shock: :shock:

You won't have to water stuff in the GH for a week! :D

Barb
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TerdalFarm
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Post by TerdalFarm » Tue Jun 07, 2011 2:21 pm

Steve,
I'm so sorry. That is terrible for you and your whole community. --Erik

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Post by canadianplant » Tue Jun 07, 2011 5:29 pm

So much flooding this year..... I hope your all ok down there
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Knnn
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Post by Knnn » Tue Jun 07, 2011 6:49 pm

Thanks for the well wishes! No real damage evident in the community.
Basements will be pumped out, things will dry out, then it will be just a memory.

Maybe I haven't been watering my Cycads enough? After this, and then with temps close to 100F, They all seem to be taking off :-)



Steve
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BILL MA
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Post by BILL MA » Tue Jun 07, 2011 9:08 pm

Wow Steve,

I've been watching the weather channel and they where saying more floods. I'm sorry this happened to you. I hope the damage is minimal for you and your friends in your community. All I hope for is no big storms for your area, this years has been so devastating for so many families. Enough is enough!

Hope all is well for a tough situation.

Bill

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